Amene adzapindule chisankho mu 2016 mu State Duma - maganizo ndi zolosera za akatswiri, zofufuza

Mpaka chisankho cha September, nyumba yapansi ya parliament ya Russia imakhala nthawi yochepa. Komabe, izi sizikutanthauza kuti atsogoleri a mafuko a mipando mu State Duma adzatha kusunga "mipando" yawo, yogonjetsedwa ndi iwo nthawi zonse mikangano, nkhondo ndi zokambirana zisanachitike. Kale "kulamulira mwachikhalidwe" United Russia kufooketsa malo ake: ovota ambiri adakhumudwitsidwa ndi ndondomeko yomwe gululi likutsogoleredwa ndi D. Medvedev. Kafukufuku wosadziwika omwe amachitika pa malo ochezera a pa Intaneti ndi pa maulendo amasonyeza kuti ambiri amathandizira makominisiti (chipani cha CPRF chotsogoleredwa ndi G. Zyuganov ndi LDPR (mtsogoleri ndi V. Zhirinovsky) Yabloko, mwachizoloƔezi phwando la "leftist", Otsatira ake ndi ochepa kwambiri masiku ano, ambiri omwe akugwirizana nawo a United Russia ndi osakayikira mosakayikira adzapambana chisankho cha boma la Duma mu 2016. Zotsatira zake zimapangidwira dziko la Russia ndipo sichidzatha ndipo, malinga ndi akatswiri, komanso malinga ndi zomwe akatswiri a ndale amanena, sizingatheke. imfa ya ER CRC F kapena LDPR ayenera kutenga 25-30% ya voti.

Amene adzalandira chisankho ku boma la Duma mu 2016 - lingaliro la akatswiri

Malingana ndi akatswiri ambiri, mu chisankho cha boma la Duma mu 2016, phwandolo lidzagonjetsa United Russia. Chifukwa chakuti amatsogoleredwa ndi a "second helmsman" a dzikoli, Dmitry Medvedev, komanso kuganizira ndalama zopambana kwambiri ku United Russia, ndi United Russia kuti adzalandire mipando yambiri mu State Duma of the Russian Federation. Akatswiri a kumadzulo akulosera kusakhutira kwakukulu kwa Russia chifukwa cha kuvota pa September 18. Malingaliro awo, kulakwitsa kwa chisankho kungakhale chifukwa cha chisokonezo ngakhale zionetsero. PanthaƔi imodzimodziyo, azungu amatsutsa kuti zidzakhala zosavuta kunyalanyaza zotsatira zowvotera m'madera kuposa Moscow ndi St. Petersburg. Akatswiri a ku America nthawi zambiri amanena za "kusintha kwatsopano ku Russia". Malingana ndi sayansi ya ndale ya US, atangoyamba kumene ntchito ya Duma, yomwe idangoyamba kumene, a Russia adzakhala "osakonda" nthawi yomweyo. Akatswiri a ku Russia, samakayikira kuti chisankho chili chonse, polepheretsa kusiyana pakati pa ziwerengero zenizeni zazotsatila ndi zotsatira zomaliza. Ife tidzawona_ife tiwona. Pano, msonkhano wachisanu ndi chimodzi wa parliament ya Russia, wakwaniritsa nthawi yake. Malinga ku Duma amayamba msonkhano womaliza wa azidindo onse pa June 24. Pambuyo pake, mu September 2016, pa 18, mndandanda wa anthu osankhidwa atsopano udzatsimikiziridwa. Maumbidwe a Duma, osankhidwa mu 2016, adzakhala asanu ndi awiri mzere. Maonekedwe achisanu ndi chimodzi a Duma adzalandira mphoto chifukwa cha kutha kwa ntchito. Atsogoleriakulu, atasiya udindo wawo povota, adzalandira malipiro awo.

Amene adzapindule chisankho ku boma la Duma mu 2016 - ziwonetsero

Kuyambira lero, pamene tikutsogolera United Russia, komanso anthu atatu omwe ali ndi mipando yapamwamba ku nyumba yamalamulo, palinso gulu la Chikomyunizimu ndi LDPR, sitingathe kunena za mmodzi, koma za opambana atatu. Ngakhale miyezi isanu ndi umodzi yapitayo, maulosi a omwe angapambane chisankho mu 2016 analankhula chinthu chimodzimodzi: EP, Communist Party ndi LDPR (mwa izi). Kutsatira atsogoleri atatu apamwamba ndi a ku Russia, omwe sanathe kufika pamasewerawa kale, mu chisankho cha 2011. Kenaka theka la mavoti linaperekedwa kwa EP, oposa 19% kwa Achikomyunizimu, ndipo pafupifupi 12% kwa a Liberal Democrats. Zotsatira izi ndipo, motero, mipando ndi chiwerengero cha mipando ku Duma tsopano zikhoza kusintha. V.ZHIRINOVSKY akuthandiza mwakhama ndondomeko ya pulezidenti ndikuwonetsa mtima wake wokoma mtima pa EP. Ngakhalenso zisamaliro pakati pa a Communist ndi a Democrats odzipereka sizinowonjezereka ndipo siziwopseza kwambiri. "Wowonjezera" woterewu, mtsogoleri wotsogolera LDPR akhoza kupeza mavoti ochuluka kwa phwando lake, mwinamwake, ndikuthamangitsa Achikomyunizimu. Ndi madera a Russia, chiwerengero cha thandizo la United States ndi pafupifupi 50%. Ndi maphwando khumi ndi anayi akulimbana ndi mipando ku Duma, izi ndizo utsogoleri woyenera ndi gawo limodzi musanagonjetse pa 18 September, 2016.

Amene adzalandira chisankho ku boma la Duma mu 2016 - chisankho

Masiku ano, anthu omwe amavomereza kuti adzalandira boma la Duma mu 2016, sagwirizana ndi akatswiri ochokera kumalo osungirako zinthu. VKontakte, makamaka, walembetsa gulu lomwe mamembala awo ali otanganidwa ndi zokambirana zokambirana za chisankho cha September 18, chomwe chidzachitike, ndi zisankho. Makamaka, onse ogwiritsa ntchito VC olembetsa angathe kutenga nawo mbali pa pepala lalikulu. Pakadali pano, ambiri mwa anthu omwe akufunsidwa akuthandiza LDPR. Ambiri "odwala" a Communist Party, EP ndi Parnassus. N'zochititsa chidwi kuti kusankha anthu osadziwika (osati VC) ndizosiyana kwambiri ndi za akatswiri ndi asayansi. Ngati chisankho chiyenera kuchitika pakalipano, Duma idzaperekedwa ndithu (zochitika za mavoti zinawonetsedwa), LDPR, EP, Parnassus ndi Party Communist Party.