Steve Jobs kamodzi pa mafunso ake adavomereza kuti "amakhulupirira am'tsogolo amatsenga ndi maulendo awo a nthawi yaitali kuposa owerengera malonda." Momwe dziko likuwonedwera mu zaka 25 ndi kupitirira patsogolo wodziwika bwino pankhani yothandizira maphunziro ndi sayansi
Ray Kurzweil
The American futurist yakhala yotchuka padziko lonse chifukwa cha maulosi olondola ozikidwa pa zamakono za sayansi ndi zamakono. Izi "zogwiritsa ntchito zamakono" sizinangowonongeka chabe "kulanda" kwa dziko lapansi ndi mafoni a m'manja, makina a fax, robotics ndi intaneti, komanso ananeneratu za kugwa kwa USSR ndi kulephera kwa maboma ovomerezeka kuti adziwe zambiri padziko lonse lapansi. Masiku ano, maulosi ake am'mbuyo amakhalanso ochititsa chidwi kwambiri. Amawona tsogolo la sayansi ndi luso lamakono motere:
- Mphamvu zamagetsi. M'zaka zingapo zotsatira, mphamvu za dzuwa zidzatha m'malo mwa mafuta ndi mafuta. Malingana ndi maulendo a Kurzweil, mtengo wotsika wa watt wa dzuwa udzatengera mafuta, mafuta ndi makala amtengo wapatali. Kuwonjezera pamenepo, kuchuluka kwa mphamvu ya dzuwa kumapangitsa kuti kusagwiritsidwe ntchito kugwiritsa ntchito mphamvu zamagetsi.
Nyumba, zokhala ndi mapulaneti a dzuwa, zidzakhala zodzipatsa mphamvu. Zambiri zamakono ndi zipangizo zingathe kudyetsedwa kuchokera ku dzuwa kapena zowonjezereka zowonjezera mphamvu, zowonongeka ndi zachilengedwe komanso zosiyana ndi zizindikiro zakunja ndi zizindikiro. Ray Kurzweil akudandaula kuti izi zikhoza kukhala zowona kumapeto kwa 2020.
- Mankhwala. Zaka khumi zatsopano zidzasinthidwa mu mankhwala. Akuluakulu "madokotala" adzakhala nanorobots, okhala ndi luso lapamwamba. Thandizo lidzatha kukhala "kosatha", "kukhala" mu thupi laumunthu. Muzochita zawo zidzakhala ntchito za kupereka chakudya ku maselo ndi kuchotsa zinthu zovulaza musanaphunzire ntchito ya ubongo. Kwa zaka khumi iwo adzaphunzira kuyang'ana thanzi laumunthu, kuyenda mozungulira mitsempha ya magazi, ndi kuteteza kuopsa kwa matenda aakulu. Kurzweil amakonzekeretsa anthu kuti m'tsogolomu matenda onse adzatha ndipo kukhala ndi moyo wautali kudzakhala chikhalidwe cha chitukuko.
Ngakhale kuti nthawi ya moyo wautali ikuwoneka yosatheka kwa ambiri, ndizovuta kwambiri masiku ano. Madokotala a ku Ulaya akunena za mbadwo watsopanowu, momwe muli ana omwe ali ndi zaka zambiri. Ali ndi mwayi wonse wokhala ndi malingaliro abwino, kukumbukira ndi thanzi labwino kwa zaka 150. Asayansi azachipatala amanena kuti anthuwa ali ndi zaka 90 adzakhala ndi "amuna achikulire" omwe ali ndi zaka 40.
- Ubongo. Pofika chaka cha 2030, mzere pakati pa makompyuta ndi anthu sudzawonekera. Kakompyuta yanu idzakhala chinthu chonga wothandizira wamba wosakhala ndi moyo, kuyankhulana komwe kudzatheka kudzera mwa kulankhula ndi manja. Komanso, Ray Kurzweil akukhulupirira kuti maganizo ambiri a anthu adzatha kukhala "zamoyo." Ubongo umalandira mwayi wa hard disk - chidziwitso chotayika kudzera mu amnesia kapena kusintha komwe kumakhudzana ndi zaka zingathe kubwezeretsedwa mosavuta polemba mfundo zosowazo pamutu.
- Nzeru zamakono. Pofika chaka cha 2040, nzeru zopanda chilengedwe zidzakhala zamphamvu kwambiri moti maganizo a umunthu adzataya ubwino uliwonse pa robotics. Kuchokera kwa amishandizi apanyumba makina ozindikira adzasamukira kumadera onse a moyo. Mwachitsanzo, iwo adzakhala ambuye wodzaza ndi kayendetsedwe ka ntchito komanso ulimi. Mapulogalamu apamwamba azapakitala adzatuluka pamsewu waukulu ndipo sadzaika pangozi yoyendetsa magalimoto ndi anthu pamisewu, ndipo zakudya zidzapangidwa kuchokera ku mpweya woonda, komabe, monga china chirichonse.
- Makhalidwe. Ray Kurzweil mu ntchito zake za sayansi akufotokoza lingaliro lakuti malingaliro opanga adzagwirizanitsa ndi munthu mothandizidwa ndi kuwonongeka kwa nthaka, ndipo kumapeto kwa zaka za XXI zapakati pazaka zadziko zidzaimira gawo lalikulu la anthu padziko lapansi. Inde, pali ena omwe samafuna kubwezeretsa umunthu wawo, koma iwo, monga zosawerengeka zachilengedwe, adzakhala atatsala pang'ono kutha. Ndipo ngati muli ndi mwayi, ma robot adzawabweretsa mu Bukhu Loyera la Anthu, ndipo adzakhala mu njira iliyonse kuti adziwonetsere, monga chitsanzo cha "mulungu" amene anabala. Koma mwinamwake osati mwayi ...
Maulosi okondweretsa a tsogolo lakutali kuchokera kwa am'tsogolo
Jan Pearson, futurist, Mutu wa Futurizon (UK)
"Pofika m'chaka cha 2050, zipangizo zamakono zamakompyuta zidzafika pamwamba kwambiri kuti chidziwitso chaumunthu chidzasinthidwa kwathunthu ku kompyuta. Pa nthawi ya imfa ya munthu, chipangizo chapaderadera chidzayang'ana ubongo wa munthu wakufa, kukonzanso zovuta zamagetsi zomwe zimapangitsa kuti ubongo wake ukhale wophiphiritsira. Chifukwa chaichi, "kusinkhasinkha", munthu, osadziwa nthawi ya imfa, adzasunthira muzowonadi, komwe angakhale ndi moyo kosatha. "
Richard Watson, wam'tsogolo (Great Britain)
"Zipangizo zamakono zidzawongolera kuchuluka kwa chiwawa. Yembekezerani kubwera kwa zida zamakono zomwe zingakonzedwenso pazithunzi. Ndipo ochita zigawenga, ndi ozunzidwa mu 2050 adzakhalapo pa intaneti pa intaneti 4.0. "
Juan Enrique, wam'tsogolo, mtsogoleri wa kampani Biotechnomy (USA)
"Pogwiritsa ntchito ma intaneti, mapulasitiki atsopano a ubongo amawonekera. Zambiri zimatuluka, zolemba zosiyana, njira zosiyana siyana zopezekapo - zonsezi sizilola kuti ziiwalike. Pa msinkhu wosadziwika, chidziwitso chirichonse chimakhala ndi ife. Zosatheka kuzidziwitsidwa komanso kudziwa zambiri zidzasintha zinthu za ubongo: zingathe "kukonza" ntchito zambirimbiri kuposa tsopano. Motero, intaneti imayamba kutilamulira ife ndi mphamvu zathu, ndipo osati ife intaneti. "
Igor Bestuzhev-Lada, futurologist, sociologist (Russia)
"Padzakhala pulogalamu ya pakompyuta yomwe, kuyambira mwana, komanso ngakhale mwana asanabadwe, idzayendetsedwa ndi munthu wa choleric kapena wamagazi, brunette ndi maso a buluu kapena tsitsi lofiira ndi mamita makumi asanu ndi atatu. Munthu adzasiya kukhala munthu, kupita ku gulu lina. Panthawi imeneyi, munthu adzakhala mdani kwa iyemwini. "